Playoff Odds: 61.0% In a better draft class this isnrsquo;t a top-25 talent, but Grier has put up big numbers against a very good conference, and hersquo;ll be among the first first collegiate bats taken on day one. copy; 1996-2022 DIY Baseball LLC All Rights Reserved Playoff Odds: 24.1% The logic behind this selective usage is easy. Letrsquo;s say, in a simple example, that every inning Miller pitches increases the odds of Cleveland winning by 10 percent. Over the course of two games, Francona could use him in three basic ways: primarily to help when behind, primarily to help when ahead, or without any regard for how the team is playing. In addition, he could choose to give Miller a larger number of one-inning outings or a smaller number of two-inning outings. Playoff Odds: 11.0% copy; 1996-2022 DIY Baseball LLC All Rights Reserved So there you have it. I don#8217;t have a good excuse; I have lots of them. It#8217;s been an odd offseason, an odd six months. But, in spite of the fact that it#8217;s still about 40 degrees here in Chicago (we#8217;re at that awkward point in the spring that I like to call the Coat-Sweater Nexus), there are some indications that baseball season is upon us, like Cubs fans being hopeful, and Nick Johnson being on the DL. Hell, reliable football betting sites I hear that they#8217;ve even played a couple of games already. So let#8217;s waste no more time. Let#8217;s talk PECOTA. The Phillies may have been the biggest winners in the offseason, as the organization added prize free agent Bryce Harper and a handful of other All-Stars, but Philadelphia will open the season with just a 48 percent chance of making the playoffs. The race to win the NL East is wide open, with the Phillies, Braves, Mets and Nationals all expected to be in postseason contention.